Helpful-Congressman
0x2e32f0f9d13a1de142387d96fbec2491a3751c37
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$51.41
Total PnL
$-8.34
Realised
$-1.96
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
54 shares @ 40.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.40
$-1.59
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.20
$4.10
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 23.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$-1.25
- NO
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.95
$0.12
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
52 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$0.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.78
$0.68
- YES
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
7 shares @ 15.3¢·now 22.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.61
$0.51
- NO
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.47
$0.37
- NO
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.32
$0.02
- YES
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.30
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$0.00Jul 18, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$0.00Jul 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$1.14Jul 11, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?$1.53Jul 11, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$1.13Jul 11, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?$1.51Jul 11, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$0.00Jul 10, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.11Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.