Fond-Dream
0x2e673e522bf2880877f785415387f4c16859b536
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$43.89
Total PnL
$11.01
Realised
$12.08
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 14.6¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$0.25
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 36.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.04
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.51
$0.77
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 12.4¢·now 12.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?
45 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.03
$0.01
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 6.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.85
$-0.69
- YES
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.89
$-1.12
- YES
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
199 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$2.98Jul 29, 13:04 UTC
- REWARD$1.24Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$5.00Jul 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?$1.60Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?$5.60Jul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?$2.19Jul 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$7.79Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$2.75Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$2.79Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?$5.41Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?$8.20Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?$5.18Jul 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$5.40Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- REWARD$1.91Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?$1.83Jul 27, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?$0.54Jul 27, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?$2.01Jul 27, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?$4.17Jul 27, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?$4.03Jul 27, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?$2.39Jul 27, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.