Substantial-Graph
0x2e87ce8a92707ecd55832568891f457884243534
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$12.94
Realised
$22.81
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
915 shares @ 77.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$699.74
$-8.96
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
281 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$226.02
$12.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
143 shares @ 92.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$130.84
$-1.14
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
93 shares @ 71.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$80.04
$13.84
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
40 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$38.20
$1.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
61 shares @ 58.3¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.69
$1.97
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
38 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.87
$0.57
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
36 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.58
$0.28
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
34 shares @ 89.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.71
$-0.08
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
33 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.87
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$15.608h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$8.2022h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.4422h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$5.0022h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$15.0023h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$10.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$10.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$6.8623h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.0023h ago
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$1.0023h ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.0023h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.0123h ago
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.3623h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.3723h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$2.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$7.1523h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?$10.0023h ago
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$25.0023h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $39.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".