Favorable-Lyocell
0x2e8c0f3b5665456a318b2424647a69c5166ec39a
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$336.44
Total PnL
$-695.21
Realised
$358.86
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
440 shares @ 7.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.02
$18.80
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.95
$-0.45
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
120 shares @ 10.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$36.00
$24.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 11.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.95
$-5.25
- UNDER
O/U 1.5 Rounds
52 shares @ 47.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$26.10
$1.10
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
51 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.75
$0.25
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
30 shares @ 48.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.60
$10.20
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
420 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.79
$3.99
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
750 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.05
$5.55
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
530 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.98
$-0.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$12.00Jun 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$52.80Jun 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$22.00Jun 14, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall$4.86Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall$0.28Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall$0.53Jun 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall$0.33Jun 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.12Jun 13, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$5.15Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$25.88Jun 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$11.91Jun 13, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$38.09Jun 13, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.96Jun 13, 03:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$40.00Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$4.50Jun 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$20.00Jun 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.01Jun 12, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.06Jun 12, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.