Creative-Pasta
0x2eae1023ecfe412625c9ded996501145add4a25f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$436.34
Win rate
75%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
874 shares @ 91.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$867.47
$66.61
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
721 shares @ 83.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$667.06
$65.17
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
712 shares @ 70.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$559.01
$59.02
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5176 shares @ 9.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$546.02
$44.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
429 shares @ 69.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$341.00
$41.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
602 shares @ 41.7¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.77
$40.77
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
382 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$246.57
$-1.93
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
621 shares @ 36.2¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$223.51
$-1.24
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
217 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$214.02
$14.02
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
254 shares @ 78.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.89
$0.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$29.75Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$6.39Jun 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$28.75Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$5.05Jun 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$10.32Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.31Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.00Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.00Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.00Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $27.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.