0x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3
0x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$446.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3500 shares @ 35.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$704.51
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
1600 shares @ 64.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$832.00
$-192.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3000 shares @ 6.7¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$592.50
$392.50
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
827 shares @ 4.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$401.24
$368.53
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
400 shares @ 52.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$330.00
$122.00
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
230 shares @ 67.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.92
$50.47
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
400 shares @ 23.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.00
$98.00
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
240 shares @ 51.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.60
$49.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$92.49
$-0.50
- NO
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
400 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$88.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$301.93Jun 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$64.00Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$123.24Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$407.94Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$126.90Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 12, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$37.26Jun 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.66Jun 12, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$130.00Jun 12, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.08Jun 12, 07:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$24.77Jun 9, 10:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$92.00Jun 8, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.03Jun 8, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$712.79Jun 8, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $99.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.