Ruddy-Con
0x2ebb95916d75691271c1c151f99df4def77f0614
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$502.09
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$270.23
Win rate
35%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- NO
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
558 shares @ 34.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$114.39
$-79.13
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$102.50
$22.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Best of Trump" in July?
108 shares @ 47.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$76.88
$25.81
- NO
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?
78 shares @ 16.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$69.08
$56.13
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
414 shares @ 24.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$59.96
$-40.57
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
89 shares @ 62.9¢·now 48.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.71
$-13.14
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
269 shares @ 24.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.57
$-53.09
- YES
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
955 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$7.64
$-99.47
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
80 shares @ 35.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.80
$-21.20
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
45 shares @ 34.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.23
$-13.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$2.00Jul 25, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$9.87Jul 25, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$11.28Jul 25, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?$8.56Jul 25, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$26.25Jul 24, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$12.25Jul 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$39.00Jul 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$54.00Jul 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$21.82Jul 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$29.00Jul 24, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$14.50Jul 24, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$17.50Jul 24, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$10.50Jul 24, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$15.55Jul 24, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$7.50Jul 24, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$11.76Jul 24, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?$12.76Jul 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$75.34Jul 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.00Jul 19, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$41.76Jul 19, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $37.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.