Whispered-Vacuum
0x2ee42afb041f0734f3f1dc3c64e529280c91fa88
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-123.86
Realised
$22.59
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1365 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-20.47
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
762 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$757.46
$45.91
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.88
$-0.08
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 94.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 92.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.06
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 88.1¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.21
$-2.04
- NO
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
100 shares @ 86.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-85.96
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
55 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.03
- YES
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
51 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.83
- YES
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?
35 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.1KJul 16, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.79Jul 16, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.59Jul 16, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJul 16, 10:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $716.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.