Sneaky-Citrus
0x2ef6acb2142bbb17608df9619d0eba29fa52c761
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-386.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
1351 shares @ 74.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.2K
$222.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
67 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.91
$0.34
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.45
$6.45
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
2226 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.48
$-75.52
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
42 shares @ 48.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.87
$-13.13
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.08
$-16.92
- YES
France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?
889 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
315 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
58 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- TIAN
Set Handicap: Tian (-1.5) vs Korneeva (+1.5)
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$319.43Jul 11, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$406.20Jul 11, 22:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.85Jul 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$151.60Jul 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Second half draw?$102.05Jul 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Second half draw?$203.90Jul 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$203.70Jul 9, 01:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$400.00Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$188.68Jul 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.43Jul 7, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$102.25Jul 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$101.41Jul 7, 17:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $167.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.