Relieved-Tonic
0x2f076fc856c0f681d68289b5c9a74f51953283f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$20.38
Total PnL
$-1.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 58.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.42
$1.42
- YES
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.44
$1.44
- YES
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
2 shares @ 42.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$2.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.00Feb 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Feb 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?$1.00Feb 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Feb 5, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)$1.32Feb 5, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.56Feb 5, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.23Feb 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Dec 29, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.00Dec 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?$1.00Dec 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.00Dec 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.00Dec 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.00Dec 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$1.00Dec 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Dec 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)$1.00Dec 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 29, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Dec 29, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.