Modest-Sesame
0x2f2c12f79f2eff03451dc37171d8e91a0411bc2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$14.95
Total PnL
$-887.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.75
$-2.25
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
108 shares @ 4.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.95
$-3.05
- YES
Will 10-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
2675 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
1542 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?
1283 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
714 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
713 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?
708 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$5.00Jun 1, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.50Jun 1, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.00Jun 1, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 15, 2026?$5.19Jun 1, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$10.00May 31, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 21, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?$100.00Apr 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$100.00Apr 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$304.46Apr 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Apr 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$9.94Apr 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$200.00Apr 11, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.00Apr 11, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 11, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$100.00Apr 8, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$50.00Apr 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$40.00Apr 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 8, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$100.00Apr 8, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 8, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $60.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".