Calculating-Marketplace
0x2f634650019722cc5dfc7c06f077bfc871f24a9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$102.96
Total PnL
$-83.51
Realised
$-3.83
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
25 shares @ 63.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$20.13
$4.38
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
25 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.57
$-1.24
- YES
FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$15.80
$0.00
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.99
$1.49
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.63
$0.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.35
$0.05
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
30 shares @ 87.6¢·now 29.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.96
$-17.32
- DUCKS
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.52
$-7.12
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.01
$-11.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5$20.00May 15, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$8.46May 15, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)$20.00May 15, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5$10.00May 14, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs$20.00May 14, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$18.01May 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)$8.54May 14, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox$21.70May 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$10.74May 14, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$7.39May 14, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)$15.51May 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$15.92May 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5$15.70May 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox$34.04May 14, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.00May 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5$6.07May 14, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.63May 14, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$20.00May 14, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$9.90May 14, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$19.63May 14, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $8.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".