Dry-Hostess
0x2f7c35db39f2d2260cbb00f4451516cdfce48ae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$388.97
Total PnL
$-53.64
Realised
$1.73
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
32 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$31.50
$18.90
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.84
$1.98
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
19 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.25
$3.46
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
22 shares @ 87.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$19.10
$-0.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.77
$1.13
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
21 shares @ 16.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$16.00
$12.39
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
22 shares @ 50.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.92
$4.79
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.88
$0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
14 shares @ 33.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$13.86
$9.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
13 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$12.58
$0.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $18.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.