First-Metaphor
0x2f8370b8fb633568015d9d0a9d0784b8a8ea7a27
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$428.76
Total PnL
$-1.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
400 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$400.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$17.01
$0.01
- NO
Will BNB dip to $300 in May?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
2 shares @ 84.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $300 in May?$6.60May 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$400.02May 8, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$6.01May 8, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$403.50May 8, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$6.00Apr 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$402.00Apr 6, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?$11.03Apr 6, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$13.01Apr 6, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$375.50Apr 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$13.00Mar 21, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?$11.00Mar 21, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Bahrain in March?$5.02Mar 21, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.02Mar 21, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain in March?$5.00Mar 4, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 4, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$374.00Mar 4, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$419.10Mar 4, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$17.00Feb 2, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$417.00Feb 2, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $203.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".