Misguided-Beef
0x2fbf58a866c97f5fd0ec1c872f197d720e667328
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$563.42
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
720 shares @ 66.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$651.60
$176.40
- AFGHANISTAN
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
846 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$435.69
$258.03
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
361 shares @ 17.8¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$195.12
$130.86
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
7 shares @ 36.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.67
$-1.85
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$55.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks$314.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?$0.00Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $197.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.