Admired-Rice
0x2fd29138b1cad3df767bbdf6c7a42596d3505997
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$96.47
Total PnL
$-3.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 91.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.48
$0.49
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.25
$0.26
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.95
$-0.04
- NO
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.77
$-0.22
- YES
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $6.6B?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 95.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$8.73
$-1.26
- NO
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$7.78
$-2.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.6B?$10.30Jul 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $6.6B?$10.00Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the July Fed decision?$10.05Jul 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.6B?$10.00Jul 27, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$10.41Jul 27, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intel (INTC) Q2 Data Center & AI revenue be above $7B?$10.29Jul 23, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 23, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMUnion Pacific (UNP) Q2 adjusted operating ratio 61%+?$10.58Jul 23, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.3B?$10.30Jul 23, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Honeywell Technologies (HON) Q2 Building Automation sales be above $1.9B?$11.11Jul 23, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?$11.56Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas Instruments (TXN) Q2 Analog revenue be above $4B?$10.63Jul 22, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel (INTC) Q2 Data Center & AI revenue be above $7B?$10.00Jul 22, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.3B?$10.00Jul 22, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$10.01Jul 22, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnion Pacific (UNP) Q2 adjusted operating ratio 61%+?$10.02Jul 22, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Honeywell Technologies (HON) Q2 Building Automation sales be above $1.9B?$10.04Jul 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?$10.07Jul 22, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $26B?$11.23Jul 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $26B?$10.04Jul 21, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.