Fluffy-Pest
0x300a7ac1859a2dee0d6a299cec105d9f90c9f137
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$5.63
Total PnL
$-588.46
Realised
$5.16
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.63
$-9.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?
1392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
1300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
1200 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-43.13
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
1100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 27?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 27?
799 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
552 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.07
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$12.81Jun 24, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$6.50Jun 24, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$3.60Jun 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$6.07Jun 20, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$4.40Jun 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.20Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$40.80Jun 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$19.90Jun 4, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$9.69Jun 4, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$11.40Jun 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$9.07Jun 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$0.23Jun 3, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$9.91Jun 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$2.00Jun 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$0.89Jun 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$20.00Jun 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$21.00Jun 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$48.01Jun 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$3.63Jun 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$7.20Jun 3, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.