Unfortunate-Tangerine
0x300d4bc7083175a413498a2ac330db13ae07ab3d
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-104.69
Realised
$43.26
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
260 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$97.50
$3.90
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
280 shares @ 39.6¢·now 30.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$85.96
$-24.92
- NO
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.00
$23.00
- NO
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$67.00
$17.00
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
305 shares @ 16.4¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$54.14
$4.12
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
1650 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$53.63
$-5.77
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 24.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.00
$4.00
- YES
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.015m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$123.841h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$49.922h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$3.965h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$1.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$2.415h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$37.005h ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $1.3510h ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $0.4810h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- REWARD$2.561d ago
- SPLITWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$100.001d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $3.621d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$8.121d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $1.001d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $9.951d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $1.601d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $84.002d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $2.002d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 5m ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
