Thick-Tshirt
0x304b098137e6f04131f0a93dba15283ab45aa125
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.55
Total PnL
$-29.90
Realised
$-10.31
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.88
$-0.07
- YES
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$0.21
- YES
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 21.1¢·now 8.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$-1.94
- YES
Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?
29 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.04
$-7.47
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
61 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
11 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.76
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.09Jun 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.41Jun 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$3.25Jun 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3.26Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$1.97Jun 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$2.59Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$4.55Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$3.48Jun 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.48Jun 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$2.99Jun 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$5.51Jun 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.03Jun 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 9, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.87Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.88Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?$0.84Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.99Jun 9, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$3.21Jun 1, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.