Focused-Reluctance
0x30872e116d80cbc4f8cb41096204a207bca8f8fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$959.09
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-197.02
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
402 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$402.00
$349.74
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
314 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$314.00
$109.90
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
190 shares @ 34.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$190.00
$124.07
- NO
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
69 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.09
$3.79
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- UNDER
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
962 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-671.48
- UNDER
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5
809 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-720.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Military" or "Troops" during Taoiseach events?
682 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-204.60
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
579 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-60.77
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
459 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-348.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCanva IPO before 2027?$251.56Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCanva IPO before 2027?$722.00Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLCanva IPO before 2027?$1.1KApr 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanva IPO before 2027?$2.1KApr 23, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMMassachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. LIU Sharks$602.50Apr 23, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMassachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. LIU Sharks$301.00Apr 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMassachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. LIU Sharks$301.50Apr 23, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$484.50Apr 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$251.16Apr 21, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$445.38Apr 21, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$300.12Apr 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$680.00Apr 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$4.80Apr 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$284.70Apr 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?$641.59Apr 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?$649.32Apr 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$720.01Apr 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$705.50Apr 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5$671.48Apr 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$279.85Apr 13, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $344.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.