0x310c243e93031b534ae2e96cbbef5239e937f648
0x310c243e93031b534ae2e96cbbef5239e937f648
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$260.13
Total PnL
$-83.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
407 shares @ 49.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$201.30
$0.10
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
72 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$36.34
$-0.36
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
49 shares @ 27.2¢·now 45.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$22.49
$9.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
3160 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.32
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
2328 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
2212 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
119 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?
110 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.29
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
49 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.57
- YES
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
35 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$8.13Jul 25, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.64Jul 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.49Jul 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.79Jul 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$6.11Jul 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$5.81Jul 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.39Jul 12, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$17.80Jul 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$8.66Jul 7, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$10.63Jul 7, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$14.42Jul 7, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$5.29Jul 6, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.24Jul 6, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.21Jul 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$5.35Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$19.11Jun 23, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$8.21Jun 23, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.76Jun 23, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$10.09Jun 23, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$6.64Jun 23, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $19.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.