Admired-Caution
0x319fae12252753985892dd2b949ad124eb77500b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$9.9K
Total PnL
$-24.3K
Realised
$356.36
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- CIRYL GANE
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
8171 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.1K
$-40.85
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4400 shares @ 46.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.2K
$190.02
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11356 shares @ 9.7¢·now 12.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$279.69
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11250 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-174.38
- YES
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
900 shares @ 26.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$292.50
$58.50
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
1230 shares @ 58.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$276.75
$-436.65
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6182 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$151.45
$1.08
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$125.00
$55.00
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5409 shares @ 6.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$97.36
$-239.81
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5510 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.42
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$239.19Jun 14, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$722.39Jun 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.1KJun 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?$94.88Jun 14, 02:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.0KJun 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$807.17Jun 13, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$699.98Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.5KJun 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.5KJun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.6KJun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$207.67Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.79Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$76.00Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$31.16Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$31.67Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$3.17Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$31.94Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$144.81Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.75Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $346.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.