Merry-Bet
0x31ba0f06ccd181ea417fce2063313b835bf39255
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$63.82
Total PnL
$-452.40
Realised
$-15.17
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92 shares @ 10.9¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.41
$0.41
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.93
$-0.07
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
1507 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-45.22
- YES
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?
347 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-72.20
- YES
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?
151 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-29.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$5.10Jun 14, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$10.16Jun 14, 09:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$41.67Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$5.09Jun 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$20.31Jun 12, 06:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$15.40Jun 11, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 11, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 11, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.10Jun 4, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?$119.88May 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$20.32May 27, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$33.75May 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$6.68May 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?$9.77May 25, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.