Popular-Middleman
0x31c4578b25af36f34c8aa4cc85f0794bfbea622f
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$115.94
Total PnL
$-38.95
Realised
$10.08
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 72.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.61
$-11.32
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
64 shares @ 68.7¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.46
$-22.54
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
29 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$18.10
$1.30
- NO
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
26 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$12.76
$-0.13
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
131 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.85
$0.45
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
45 shares @ 23.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.78
$-5.97
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 53.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.12
$-3.91
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 30.2¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$0.96
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3 shares @ 48.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.79
$0.28
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.37
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.105m ago
- TRADESELLWill SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-02?$0.202h ago
- TRADESELLWill SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-02?$0.192h ago
- TRADEBUYWill SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-02?$1.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$2.402h ago
- REDEEMWatford FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5$1.764h ago
- REDEEMValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner$12.894h ago
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner$1.094h ago
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner$1.094h ago
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner$1.094h ago
- TRADESELLWill 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?$1.385h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?$1.015h ago
- TRADESELL1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5$3.416h ago
- TRADESELL1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5$0.306h ago
- TRADESELLWill 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?$26.446h ago
- TRADESELLWill 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?$0.076h ago
- TRADESELLWill 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?$0.966h ago
- TRADESELLWill 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?$0.066h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 5m ago
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".