Untrue-Beck
0x31d43b351a0fba650ad87398e44842960b536bcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-913.12
Realised
$-0.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
480 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-254.30
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
426 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
340 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?
305 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-173.92
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?
271 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
265 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.44
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
200 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$176.91May 17, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$150.00May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$31.20May 14, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$45.00May 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$26.80Apr 26, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$30.00Apr 24, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$70.30Apr 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$53.28Apr 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$52.50Mar 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$51.10Mar 16, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.73Mar 16, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$50.00Mar 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$0.23Feb 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$15.96Feb 17, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$16.15Feb 17, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$5.88Feb 17, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$35.70Feb 17, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$20.41Feb 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$7.09Feb 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$9.93Jan 31, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $21.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.