0x31da5c1498e50631a91c3c5e4fdaa298aba193f9
0x31da5c1498e50631a91c3c5e4fdaa298aba193f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$29.63
Total PnL
$-18.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.10
$4.10
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
8 shares @ 57.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.71
$1.21
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.65
$0.15
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$0.14
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.53
$0.03
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 25?
71 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 15?
39 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on May 1?
25 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 24?
16 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)$1.51Jun 1, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$1.65Jun 1, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on May 1?$1.57May 2, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.55May 1, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.50May 1, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.85May 1, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.50May 1, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$2.35May 1, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$0.01May 1, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$1.50Apr 27, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1.46Apr 27, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1.50Apr 27, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-2.5)$1.53Apr 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-2.5)$1.50Apr 25, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 25, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 24?$3.13Apr 25, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 24?$1.50Apr 24, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 24?$1.50Apr 24, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)$2.28Apr 24, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 24?$1.50Apr 23, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.