Cumbersome-Tattler
0x31e52c8c9dd504765dce979fee25fa76f3970b07
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$396.96
Realised
$-1.96
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2803 shares @ 82.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$376.86
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$486.25
$51.25
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
315 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.07
$29.84
- NO
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
50 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.00
$2.77
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
13 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.08
$-11.94
- YES
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?
50 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-29.80
- NO
Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?
20 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.68
- YES
Will Drake release an album in 2025?
3 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?
2 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $244.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.