0x321326067641199059ad57fbc0f623d721fedd1f
0x321326067641199059ad57fbc0f623d721fedd1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$49.00
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
1500 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-93.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $160 in November?
825 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-42.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
700 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.15
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 September 29-October 5?
450 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-51.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
361 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 2AM ET
291 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-26.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
225 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-80.37
- NO
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?
225 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-104.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4AM ET
220 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-17.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$100.00Jul 14, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$50.00Jul 10, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$12.50Jul 10, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$48.57Jul 9, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$42.34Jul 9, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$6.64Jul 9, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$91.51Jul 9, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$91.56Jul 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$97.79Jul 9, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$88.67Jul 8, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$89.97Jul 8, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$83.21Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 29, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$79.20Jun 29, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$20.52Jun 29, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$49.21Jun 29, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$46.86Jun 29, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$70.71Jun 25, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$26.97Jun 25, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$19.95Jun 25, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $48.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.