Another-Exhaust
0x323120c01d4b9478dd7d6af4b7959f2b5f6824ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$121.29
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-17.25
Win rate
5%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
19 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.31
$0.34
- NO
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?
19 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.90
$-0.03
- NO
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
19 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.75
$-0.18
- NO
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
18 shares @ 97.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.57
$-0.36
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$17.48
$-0.50
- NO
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
16 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.21
$0.22
- NO
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
8 shares @ 98.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$7.80
$-0.19
- NO
Will Steven Kwan win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?
4 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.05
$0.06
- YES
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
58 shares @ 18.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.20
$-8.74
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$2.11Aug 14, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$5.43Aug 5, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?$5.49Aug 5, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?$5.38Aug 4, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President before GTA VI?$4.90Aug 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?$16.48Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.80 in July?$4.04Aug 1, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 in July?$5.00Jul 31, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.04Jul 31, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in July?$5.00Jul 31, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.00Jul 31, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$5.43Jul 31, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$2.02Jul 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$5.12Jul 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$5.17Jul 30, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?$4.97Jul 30, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$5.01Jul 29, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?$5.01Jul 29, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29?$5.01Jul 29, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$5.00Jul 29, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.