Thoughtful-Pneumonia
0x32706901aeffdaff2ea4e71dd9270bad50668c18
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.54
Total PnL
$-10.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$2.58
$0.18
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 10?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.05Jan 30, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.00Jan 15, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$1.00Jan 12, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?$1.34Jan 12, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?$1.00Jan 11, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.06Jan 11, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 10?$1.00Jan 10, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$1.03Jan 10, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 10?$1.00Jan 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.09Jan 10, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$1.00Jan 8, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$1.00Jan 8, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 8, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.