Harmless-Ray
0x32a3c0422db0fbcb6fa8405aa5647e561fb7a818
Quality score
87/100
Open positions
150
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$10.2K
Win rate
89%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
888 shares @ 51.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$412.89
$-46.36
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
425 shares @ 68.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$371.53
$79.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$272.25
$-11.25
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
530 shares @ 48.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$188.15
$-68.65
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.10
$6.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
418 shares @ 29.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$142.15
$18.24
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
184 shares @ 71.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$119.40
$-11.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$88.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$84.50
$0.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.50
$-3.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0115h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.604d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.027d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0210d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.5810d ago
- YIELD$0.0211d ago
- YIELD$0.0112d ago
- YIELD$0.0213d ago
- YIELD$0.0114d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.1014d ago
- YIELD$0.0215d ago
- YIELD$0.0216d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.1017d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 25d ago
- Last active
- 15h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.