Naive-Timpani
0x32ed1c779d52dbb11116c58c663ed825e9351078
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$108.11
Total PnL
$-123.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$95.73
$-3.79
- NO
Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.38
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 20?
875 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?
790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
760 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?
755 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 24?
673 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 21?
660 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
617 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?$99.53Jun 5, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$99.54Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$99.44Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$6.42Jun 1, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$11.09Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 31?$13.11Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$81.65Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$81.57May 31, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe$11.71May 31, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$69.83May 31, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$69.56May 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$68.90May 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$69.02May 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 31?$13.10May 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe$7.34May 30, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$89.87May 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?$90.03May 30, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$90.31May 30, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$90.06May 29, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$12.40May 29, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $69.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".