0x32fc0a669a70f6540b14d77720b050ef48e3a0e3
0x32fc0a669a70f6540b14d77720b050ef48e3a0e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$66.01
Total PnL
$-4.48
Realised
$-6.92
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.08
$9.01
- NO
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.11
$6.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 16?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$8.50
$3.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?
8 shares @ 63.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$7.61
$2.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$5.64
$0.68
- NO
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-25?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$5.64
$0.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$5.55
$0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$5.52
$0.55
- NO
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.36
$-2.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 17?
149 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$16.12May 8, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?$5.02Apr 26, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?$4.96Apr 26, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$5.00Apr 26, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-25?$4.96Apr 26, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$4.38Apr 26, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?$5.00Apr 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$1.85Apr 25, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.