Rare-Model
0x3302431884c1f5288cf98ccbbc640ac9e3e49491
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$106.14
Win rate
87%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
4990 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
655 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.79
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
357 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-34.47
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
247 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
195 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.79
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
169 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
161 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
119 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-36.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
116 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
114 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.25Jul 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.11Jul 3, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.05Jul 1, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.11Jul 1, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.25Jul 1, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.02Jun 26, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.08Jun 26, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.12Jun 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.12Jun 24, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.42Jun 24, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.42Jun 24, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.34Jun 24, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.33Jun 24, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.11Jun 24, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.06Jun 24, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.24Jun 24, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.28Jun 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.94Jun 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$2.12Jun 24, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.10Jun 23, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
30 closed markets, 87% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 13:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 12:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.