Favorite-Drainage
0x331216e361c42aa671b91204bb155841bbac56b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$57.76
Total PnL
$2.35
Realised
$-2.84
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
29 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.25
$8.19
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
29 shares @ 76.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.51
$6.67
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
31 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5AM ET
25 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$16.20Jan 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.76Jan 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jan 16, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.46Jan 16, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jan 16, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.88Jan 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ET$5.00Jan 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.53Jan 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$16.03Jan 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$15.19Jan 15, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.04Jan 15, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.04Jan 15, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$2.18Jan 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?$1.39Jan 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.13Jan 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.98Jan 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.37Jan 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?$2.16Jan 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5AM ET$0.75Jan 15, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.