0x334a9e881cb9ab2144c9ab7ae582c20fc856d8b4
0x334a9e881cb9ab2144c9ab7ae582c20fc856d8b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$848.20
Total PnL
$-429.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
98631 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$493.16
$-454.89
- YES
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
16563 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$107.66
$51.01
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15802 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$86.91
$-7.88
- YES
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15643 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$86.04
$-7.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
470 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$10.06
$8.18
- YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
114 shares @ 4.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.73
$4.81
- YES
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
137 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$9.53
$-1.81
- YES
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
43 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.34
$2.59
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
120 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.46
$0.72
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
57 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$5.10
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$97.59Jul 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$98.58Jul 15, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?$58.92Jul 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?$985.69Jul 15, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMSP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 4.5$2.18Jul 14, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5)$4.92Jul 14, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMSP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 2.5$7.08Jul 14, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larne FC win on 2026-07-14?$0.00Jul 14, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMFloriana FC leading at halftime?$0.00Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMShamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5$21.11Jul 14, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.33Jul 14, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMLarne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC: O/U 5.5$0.00Jul 14, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMShamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5$2.44Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMShamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC: O/U 5.5$189.00Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-14?$0.00Jul 14, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?$2.79Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMFC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 14, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMFC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5$0.00Jul 14, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMThe New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5$2.41Jul 14, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMPFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 4.5$2.18Jul 14, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $114.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.