Steel-Probation
0x334b261e6ab81287841c1e8c9326a149b8bfd971
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$37.1K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$65.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
20288 shares @ 86.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.5K
$900.27
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
10747 shares @ 75.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.4K
$321.64
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
6660 shares @ 88.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.4K
$446.77
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3911 shares @ 68.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$128.67
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$865.00
$15.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
284 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$161.75
$8.49
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$0.21
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
73 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.07
$-0.51
- UNDER
O/U 3.5 Rounds
750 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-404.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$800.00May 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$400.00May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$395.00May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$300.00May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$811.63May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$3.0KMay 17, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$65.38May 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$375.00May 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$9.62May 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.6KMay 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$182.46May 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.02May 15, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.53May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$116.52May 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.7KMay 14, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$386.58May 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$89.40May 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.98May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$22.40May 14, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$25.39May 13, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $447.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".