Steel-Probation
0x334b261e6ab81287841c1e8c9326a149b8bfd971
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-128.1K
Realised
$-1.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
4775 shares @ 44.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$952.35
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$935.00
$85.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
284 shares @ 54.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$277.16
$123.89
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.31
$1.07
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
177599 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-119.6K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
18397 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.8K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
5360 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- UNDER
O/U 3.5 Rounds
750 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-404.99
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
73 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.27Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$144.9KJul 7, 15:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$19.5K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 28, 21:00 UTC → Jun 2, 22:13 UTC
- BUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$6.8K@85¢May 28, 23:47 UTC
- BUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$7.2K@83¢May 28, 20:57 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$14.1K · 72% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $544.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.