0x336ea65ea63060ab619947f1c39432238c3d56eb
0x336ea65ea63060ab619947f1c39432238c3d56eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$8.34
Total PnL
$-43.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$7.14
$6.14
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
35 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.07Jun 12, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.06Jun 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.40Jun 3, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$11.50Mar 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?$1.00Mar 22, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.71Mar 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?$15.82Mar 22, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.13Mar 21, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?$1.08Mar 21, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$1.60Mar 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?$1.00Mar 14, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE shooter charged by March 31?$1.00Mar 14, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? $1.00Mar 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinal Stage: Canada vs. USA$1.20Mar 13, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Oil" be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?$4.00Mar 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike White be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$1.00Mar 13, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.