Lone-Nonbeliever
0x339249ff3a6503194a03259ffada9d3642f70662
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.08
Total PnL
$-95.63
Realised
$-21.85
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
52 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-1.67
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
1004 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
536 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
279 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.25
- YES
Will Portugal win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
171 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
94 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
48 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.25
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
33 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.46
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?
21 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
19 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Germany (-4.5)$47.43Jun 14, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-4.5)$17.34Jun 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$1.80May 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$1.80May 23, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$5.86May 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$3.94May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$30.84May 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$32.15May 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.84May 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$34.00May 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$5.11Apr 24, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.75Apr 24, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$2.63Apr 24, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$0.67Apr 20, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 17, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$0.00Apr 14, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$3.65Apr 11, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$0.00Apr 11, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.