Fatherly-Photographer
0x339abaa38f2f60d3683cd12ce9c262d83718307c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$16.85
Total PnL
$-268.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 82.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
40 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12PM ET
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.03Jun 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 2?$1.04Jun 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.02Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.03Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.04Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.05Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.08Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.55Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$20.02Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$20.00May 18, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 18, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$1.00May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.01May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 18, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.