Tepid-Lender
0x33efc86f50ecfbad41d0115945eb53c91282c498
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-492.89
Realised
$3.4K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
4322 shares @ 83.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.1K
$-1.5K
- NO
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1832 shares @ 86.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.4K
$-129.82
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
1039 shares @ 25.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$755.65
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1471 shares @ 66.0¢·now 42.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$626.48
$-344.60
- NO
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?
625 shares @ 94.8¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$596.05
$3.55
- YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
750 shares @ 70.2¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$532.50
$6.00
- YES
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?
317 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$313.01
$3.47
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
269 shares @ 87.2¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$252.65
$18.07
- NO
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?
187 shares @ 47.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$129.99
$41.07
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 81.9¢·now 42.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$85.50
$-78.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.0KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.04Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?$20.24Jun 12, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$2.0KJun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?$31.26Jun 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$467.45Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$642.45Jun 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$176.19Jun 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$234.92Jun 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?$71.76Jun 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$2.0KJun 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$1.8KJun 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$96.50Jun 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$971.03Jun 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$991.82Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$76.92Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$360.40Jun 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$236.39Jun 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$250.36Jun 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$274.10Jun 12, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $394.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.