Flowery-Rehospitalisation
0x34377cc856872ea4603840b95addcc39adb62147
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.38
Total PnL
$-96.78
Realised
$25.06
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
89 shares @ 18.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-14.62
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
1007 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
900 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
395 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Curaçao leading at halftime?
173 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$9.00Jun 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? AND Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$3.08Jun 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$3.09Jun 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$3.09Jun 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-23? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$3.09Jun 23, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.40Jun 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.55Jun 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.56Jun 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$5.21Jun 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$37.15Jun 23, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$30.36Jun 23, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.99Jun 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$20.57Jun 23, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.14Jun 23, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.31Jun 23, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.08Jun 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$21.94Jun 23, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.