Lonely-Saving
0x345c18afab24c1a18e3479ede516e6f785f5bfa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-110.73
Realised
$-0.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?
383 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-77.81
- YES
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
138 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?
10 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$10.73May 11, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.22May 11, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$4.37May 11, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.90May 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.48May 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.38May 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.63May 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.29May 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?$5.57May 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$1.44May 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.47May 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$4.08May 11, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$5.86May 11, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Apr 13, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Apr 13, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?$0.00Apr 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$50.00Apr 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?$50.00Apr 13, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?$0.00Apr 13, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?$0.00Apr 13, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $15.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.