Accomplished-Keyboarding
0x34937ed95784f4c9fa412b6f423de5895fb650fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-606.88
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5876 shares @ 68.4¢·now 59.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.5K
$-550.60
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
221 shares @ 31.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$197.69
$127.70
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
357 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$31.81
$14.06
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
500 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.75
$-16.82
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.02
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
626 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-79.04
- YES
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?
477 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.55
- YES
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?
340 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.19
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?
317 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- UNITED STATES
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
290 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-156.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$9.96Jul 22, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$8.47Jul 22, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnzo Fernández: 1+ goals$15.66Jul 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ assists$30.17Jul 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 England?$15.92Jul 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRayan Cherki: 1+ assists$36.35Jul 18, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.75Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.75Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.75Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.73Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$18.72Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$7.02Jul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.75Jul 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.75Jul 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.75Jul 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.75Jul 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$0.08Jul 17, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $97.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.