Uncomfortable-Jail
0x34a42279adc31650b5f80e80445ab37cf5754cc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-14.03
Realised
$-35.75
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
1459 shares @ 83.6¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$20.14
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
506 shares @ 56.1¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$364.38
$80.26
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
224 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$221.70
$5.40
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
331 shares @ 44.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.30
$-79.60
- YES
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.10
$-0.50
- YES
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.55
$-0.51
- YES
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
91 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.54
$-0.14
- YES
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
255 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-3.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$35.23Jun 14, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$2.00Jun 13, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$1.00Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$4.13Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.11Jun 7, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$8.93Jun 6, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$11.64Jun 6, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$7.28Jun 6, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$12.05Jun 6, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$2.78Jun 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$6.10Jun 5, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$6.49Jun 5, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.39Jun 5, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$39.05Jun 4, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$37.95Jun 4, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$4.49Jun 3, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.01Jun 3, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.01Jun 3, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.02Jun 3, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.