Cheerful-Piccolo
0x34bda12cafc59653fec9d7ca2103564d4dd90cc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$522.64
Total PnL
$-9.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
493 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$468.67
$222.39
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
493 shares @ 50.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.89
$-222.39
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.40
$0.00
- NO
Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.68
$-0.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2AM ET
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$9.21May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$9.20May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$7.00May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?$8.00May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$6.80May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$8.40May 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 19?$8.50May 18, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 15?$8.31May 15, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 15?$8.41May 15, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 15?$6.71May 15, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?$8.41May 15, 03:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 14?$6.31May 14, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 14?$8.63May 14, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 14?$7.51May 14, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 15?$8.40May 14, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 15?$6.70May 14, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".