Thorny-Nut
0x34fa3d3980a3d34813b79e59d4ef936bd3f5b8e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$16.66
Total PnL
$-189.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.80
$-16.20
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
16 shares @ 24.5¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
19 shares @ 10.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.00Mar 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$3.00Mar 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.00Mar 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00Mar 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$2.00Mar 18, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.99Mar 18, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12?$35.09Mar 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6.48Oct 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.21Oct 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.00Oct 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.50Oct 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.27Oct 12, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$7.30Oct 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.02Oct 12, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.82Oct 12, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12?$1.00Oct 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12?$1.00Oct 12, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 17?$3.00Oct 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$5.00Oct 12, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $32.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.