Tepid-Hazel
0x3506af747e30b34c939b449c082b8d7cd4957ae7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$964.22
Total PnL
$-104.51
Realised
$-6.23
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
439 shares @ 69.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$256.93
$-48.82
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
283 shares @ 49.2¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$149.82
$10.82
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
245 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.58
$-3.67
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
300 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$98.03
$-3.97
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
352 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$72.22
$-5.28
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.35
$-2.65
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$46.50
$-5.50
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
127 shares @ 37.7¢·now 32.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.76
$-6.24
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
139 shares @ 35.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$38.26
$-11.74
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
106 shares @ 25.9¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.85
$-1.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$16.32May 25, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$95.00May 25, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$10.00May 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?$10.00May 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$10.00May 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$54.35May 25, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$150.00May 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$431.25May 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$79.00May 25, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$78.75May 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$366.00May 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$15.00May 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$110.00May 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$50.00May 25, 06:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$46.88May 24, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$51.42May 24, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $176.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 22:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 17:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".