Mountainous-Cytoplasm
0x3516721a8aa28787d9a375f542a142a3bf46366a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$10.0K
Total PnL
$-25.22
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.9K
$-3.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2526 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$1.26
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1500 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-0.75
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
12 shares @ 94.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$10.67
$-0.33
- ANI AMIRAGHYAN
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Nelli Ivanova vs Ani Amiraghyan
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
10 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
8 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$569.97May 20, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$569.64May 20, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$508.16May 20, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?$6.03May 20, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?$7.01May 20, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.5KMay 20, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.6KMay 20, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$8.02May 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Slovenia vs Guernsey$4.01May 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Tsaghkadzor: Nelli Ivanova vs Ani Amiraghyan$10.01May 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.5KMay 20, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.9KMay 20, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$5.02May 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?$6.02May 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$10.02May 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$6.02May 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?$9.02May 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.4KMay 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.7KMay 20, 02:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.32May 20, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $962.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".