Liquid-Chocolate
0x35d44846fb2e9bd1686b050a4cae30cde9b7f15b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-197.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9542 shares @ 45.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.5K
$-862.10
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
3633 shares @ 76.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.7K
$-93.37
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5763 shares @ 32.2¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.4K
$-475.63
- NO
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
639 shares @ 88.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$569.05
$2.41
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
1185 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-995.22
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
252 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-98.20
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
146 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-99.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$569.22Jul 24, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$572.10Jul 24, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$201.98Jul 11, 17:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.84Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.51Jul 9, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$192.65Jul 9, 20:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 7, 05:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$128.35Jul 4, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$128.30Jul 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$168.15Jul 4, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$167.87Jul 4, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$131.34Jul 3, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$71.29Jul 3, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $331.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.